Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, 20:45 MSK

Biel — Rapperswil-Jona

Model prediction for 20 October

Biel48%

Draw in regulation21%

Rapperswil-Jona31%

Model estimate at 17:13 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Biel are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

Biel are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Biel — Rapperswil-Jona		3.0–2.5
Biel to win (incl. OT and shootout)		59%
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Biel
Biel goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Biel

10.10Lugano2:3
09.10away · Bern2:4
03.10Davos4:3
02.10away · Lausanne4:7
29.09away · Zurich3:6

Rapperswil-Jona

10.10Lausanne1:4
09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
03.10Bern4:3 OT
02.10away · Lugano2:5
29.09Zug2:5

Head to head

24.01.2026Biel — Rapperswil-Jona5:4
05.12.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Biel2:3 SO
17.10.2025Biel — Rapperswil-Jona4:6
23.09.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Biel5:2
15.02.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Biel3:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	11	2	1	1	7	23–40	-17	9

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

20:45
Ambri-PiottaFribourgpreliminary
4258
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
20:45
BernLangnau Tigerspreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
20:45
EHC KlotenLausannepreliminary
4258
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
20:45
ServetteLuganopreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
20:45
ZurichDavospreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →