Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 20 October, 20:45 MSK

Zurich — Davos

Model prediction for 20 October

Zurich49%

Draw in regulation22%

Davos29%

Model estimate at 17:13 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zurich are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

Zurich are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zurich — Davos		2.7–2.1
Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout)		62%
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)		38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Zurich
Zurich goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Zurich

10.10Fribourg5:4 OT
09.10away · Lugano3:2 OT
03.10Lausanne3:2 OT
29.09Biel6:3
26.09EHC Kloten3:2

Davos

10.10away · Servette2:3
09.10EHC Kloten1:4
03.10away · Biel3:4
02.10Ajoie3:1
29.09away · Ambri-Piotta3:0

Head to head

12.04.2026Davos — Zurich2:1 OT
10.04.2026Zurich — Davos2:5
08.04.2026Davos — Zurich1:0
06.04.2026Zurich — Davos3:1
04.04.2026Davos — Zurich4:2

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zurich	10	7	3	0	0	42–24	+18	27
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Servette	11	5	2	2	2	33–29	+4	21
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Zug	7	4	0	1	2	25–15	+10	13
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

20:45
Ambri-PiottaFribourgpreliminary
4258
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
20:45
BernLangnau Tigerspreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
20:45
BielRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
5941
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
20:45
EHC KlotenLausannepreliminary
4258
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
20:45
ServetteLuganopreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →