Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Bern — Zurich
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zurich are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bern — Zurich | 2.2–2.4 | |
| Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bern
- Bern goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Ambri-Piotta2:1 OT
- 09.10Biel4:2
- 03.10away · Rapperswil-Jona3:4 OT
- 02.10Servette2:3 SO
- 29.09away · Fribourg2:5
Head to head
- 15.09.2026Zurich — Bern5:3
- 17.01.2026Zurich — Bern3:4 OT
- 28.11.2025Bern — Zurich2:1
- 01.11.2025Bern — Zurich0:3
- 03.10.2025Zurich — Bern7:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zurich | 10 | 7 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Servette | 11 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zug | 7 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
National League on the same day
- Ambri-PiottaBielpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- EHC KlotenAjoiepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- FribourgDavospreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- LausanneLangnau Tigerspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Rapperswil-JonaServettepreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- ZugLuganopreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →