KHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Ice Palace
Cherepovets — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1 OTCame true
In short
Final score 2:1 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Cherepovets to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.
Cherepovets are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Cherepovets are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Shanghai | 3.2–2.3 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.10Vladivostok3:4 SO
- 26.09Sochi3:1
- 24.09Yekaterinburg5:2
- 21.09away · Khabarovsk4:1
- 19.09away · Vladivostok0:2
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
- 28.09Sochi4:1
- 26.09Dinamo Minsk2:1
- 22.09Yekaterinburg3:2
- 15.09away · SKA St. Petersburg2:7
Head to head
- 12.02.2026Shanghai — Cherepovets2:3
- 08.11.2025Shanghai — Cherepovets2:4
- 01.11.2025Cherepovets — Shanghai3:6
- 26.10.2025Cherepovets — Shanghai4:1
- 18.03.2025Shanghai — Cherepovets4:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
Next matches
- LadaShanghai5 October · KHL46542The most likely outcome came true: 222%0:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- SKA St. PetersburgCherepovets6 October · KHL57431The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
KHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:1.4.2
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 119%6:5SOFinal score 6:5 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 2:1.4.3
- 32682The most likely outcome came true: 220%0:6Final score 0:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →