NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche | 2.6–2.9 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dallas Stars
- Dallas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
- 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
- 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
- 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
- 03.10St. Louis Blues0:4
- 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
- 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
- 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
- 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche0:2
- 19.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Dallas Stars1:2 SO
- 07.03.2026Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche4:5 SO
- 12.10.2025Colorado Avalanche — Dallas Stars4:5 SO
- 04.05.2025Dallas Stars — Colorado Avalanche4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Washington Capitals | 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 20 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 21 | Dallas Stars | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | St. Louis Blues | 5 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
NHL on the same day
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →