NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

New York Islanders — Vancouver Canucks

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Model prediction for 14 October

New York Islanders51%
Draw in regulation22%
Vancouver Canucks27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

New York Islanders are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • New York Islanders are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Islanders — Vancouver Canucks3.2–2.4
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

New York Islanders

  • 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
  • 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
  • 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0
  • 01.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs1:2

Vancouver Canucks

  • 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
  • 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
  • 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 04.10Calgary Flames4:1

Head to head

  • 20.01.2026Vancouver Canucks — New York Islanders3:4
  • 20.12.2025New York Islanders — Vancouver Canucks1:4
  • 27.03.2025New York Islanders — Vancouver Canucks2:5
  • 15.11.2024Vancouver Canucks — New York Islanders2:5
  • 10.01.2024New York Islanders — Vancouver Canucks2:5

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23Montreal Canadiens521215–19-45
24New York Islanders520316–13+34
25Columbus Blue Jackets420213–14-14
26New Jersey Devils520311–18-74
27Vancouver Canucks720524–35-114
28Detroit Red Wings511310–15-53

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →