SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Frolunda — Skelleftea
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Frolunda 51%, Skelleftea 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Frolunda — Skelleftea | 2.4–2.4 | |
| Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Frolunda
- Frolunda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:3
- 08.10away · Timra1:4
- 03.10Djurgarden4:2
- 01.10Brynas2:1
- 26.09away · Malmo2:1
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Frolunda — Skelleftea0:2
- 22.01.2026Frolunda — Skelleftea3:4 OT
- 27.11.2025Skelleftea — Frolunda2:4
- 02.10.2025Skelleftea — Frolunda2:3
- 11.02.2025Frolunda — Skelleftea5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Farjestad | 8 | 7 | +26 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Brynas | 8 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
SHL on the same day
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- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →