SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Timra — IF Bjorkloven

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Model prediction for 17 October

Timra45%
Draw in regulation22%
IF Bjorkloven32%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Timra are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Timra are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Timra — IF Bjorkloven2.6–2.3
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Timra
  • Timra goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Timra

  • 10.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 08.10Frolunda4:1
  • 03.10Skelleftea1:4
  • 01.10away · Rogle1:4
  • 29.09away · Brynas0:1

IF Bjorkloven

  • 10.10Frolunda3:2
  • 08.10away · Brynas1:4
  • 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
  • 01.10Vaxjo4:2
  • 29.09HV 714:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:44.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →