Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
JYP — Karpat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
JYP are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- JYP are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: JYP — Karpat | 3.1–2.6 | |
| JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Karpat to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap JYP
- JYP goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Kiekko-Espoo1:6
- 08.10away · SaiPa2:1
- 03.10away · TPS Turku1:4
- 02.10away · Hameenlinna1:2
- 25.09away · IFK Helsinki4:3
- 10.10away · Jukurit1:2 OT
- 09.10away · Pelicans3:2 OT
- 07.10Kiekko-Espoo8:7 OT
- 03.10away · Hameenlinna1:2 OT
- 02.10away · Kiekko-Espoo3:1
Head to head
- 05.09.2026Karpat — JYP3:4
- 27.12.2025Karpat — JYP2:4
- 26.12.2025JYP — Karpat5:3
- 31.10.2025JYP — Karpat4:5 SO
- 08.10.2025Karpat — JYP5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Assat | 12 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | JYP | 10 | 7 | +5 | 21 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
Liiga on the same day
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →