Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Pelicans — Vaasan Sport
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Pelicans are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- Pelicans are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pelicans — Vaasan Sport | 2.6–1.8 | |
| Pelicans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pelicans
- Pelicans goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 07.10Ilves2:1
- 03.10IFK Helsinki2:3 OT
- 26.09Karpat1:2
- 23.09Kiekko-Espoo0:1 OT
- 19.09away · Karpat2:3
Head to head
- 04.09.2026Pelicans — Vaasan Sport6:3
- 27.02.2026Pelicans — Vaasan Sport3:2 SO
- 24.01.2026Vaasan Sport — Pelicans2:3
- 11.12.2025Vaasan Sport — Pelicans0:4
- 05.12.2025Pelicans — Vaasan Sport3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | TPS Turku | 11 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Pelicans | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | KalPa | 11 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | -17 | 10 |
Liiga on the same day
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →