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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Kladno — Vitkovice

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Model prediction for 25 October

Kladno52%
Draw in regulation21%
Vitkovice28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kladno are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Kladno are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kladno — Vitkovice3.0–2.3
Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kladno
  • Kladno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kladno

  • 11.10away · Karlovy Vary1:3
  • 09.10Mlada Boleslav4:3
  • 04.10away · Litvinov3:2 OT
  • 02.10Mountfield HK3:4 SO
  • 29.09away · Trinec4:6

Vitkovice

  • 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 09.10Pardubice2:3
  • 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
  • 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
  • 29.09away · Olomouc4:3

Head to head

  • 16.09.2026Vitkovice — Kladno3:4
  • 11.01.2026Kladno — Vitkovice8:1
  • 30.11.2025Vitkovice — Kladno0:3
  • 17.10.2025Kladno — Vitkovice3:1
  • 12.09.2025Vitkovice — Kladno1:0 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice10501427–31-416
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • LiberecPlzenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • Mlada BoleslavCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • Mountfield HKPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • LitvinovKometa Brnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →