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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Litvinov — Kometa Brno

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Model prediction for 25 October

Litvinov36%
Draw in regulation22%
Kometa Brno41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kometa Brno are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Litvinov — Kometa Brno2.4–2.5
Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Litvinov
  • Litvinov goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Litvinov

  • 11.10away · Mlada Boleslav1:2
  • 09.10Olomouc3:1
  • 04.10Kladno2:3 OT
  • 02.10away · Trinec2:3
  • 29.09Liberec5:4 SO

Kometa Brno

  • 11.10Plzen1:2 OT
  • 08.10away · Sparta Prague4:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
  • 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 27.09Pardubice3:5

Head to head

  • 16.09.2026Litvinov — Kometa Brno2:1
  • 09.01.2026Kometa Brno — Litvinov7:2
  • 28.11.2025Litvinov — Kometa Brno6:2
  • 12.10.2025Litvinov — Kometa Brno2:5
  • 10.09.2025Kometa Brno — Litvinov4:2

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec10402429–29014
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • KladnoVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
  • LiberecPlzenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • Mlada BoleslavCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • Mountfield HKPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →