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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

KooKoo — Tappara

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Model prediction for 20 October

KooKoo39%
Draw in regulation21%
Tappara40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: KooKoo 49%, Tappara 51% including overtime.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KooKoo — Tappara2.8–2.9
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Tappara to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap KooKoo
  • KooKoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

KooKoo

  • 10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
  • 09.10Jukurit4:1
  • 03.10Pelicans3:6
  • 30.09away · Tappara0:3
  • 26.09Jukurit3:5

Tappara

  • 10.10TPS Turku4:3 SO
  • 09.10away · KalPa3:2
  • 02.10Jokerit3:2 OT
  • 30.09KooKoo3:0
  • 26.09SaiPa2:4

Head to head

  • 30.09.2026Tappara — KooKoo3:0
  • 13.05.2026Tappara — KooKoo2:1
  • 11.05.2026KooKoo — Tappara1:2
  • 09.05.2026Tappara — KooKoo1:2
  • 08.05.2026KooKoo — Tappara2:3 OT

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLukko11610429–23+620
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTappara11520432–24+819
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsHameenlinna12430528–35-718
16, Relegation play-offJokerit13212825–42-1710
17, RelegationKooKoo121011025–52-274

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • HameenlinnaPelicanspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
  • LukkoIFK Helsinkipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • SaiPaKarpatpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
  • TPS TurkuIlvespreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • Vaasan SportJukuritpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →