Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Rune H. — Altmaier D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Rune H.74%
Altmaier D.26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Rune H. to win (74%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 74% fails in about 26 matches out of 100 on average.

Rune H. are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rune H. 1765, Altmaier D. 1524.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rune H. games
  • Altmaier D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rune H.

  • 01.10Jacquet K.0:2

Altmaier D.

  • 28.09Cui J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Shelton B.Altmaier D.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →