Conference League: matchday 1 predictions
15 October · 18 matches · season 2026/27
Conference League matchday 1: 18 matches, 15 October. The model expects 3.0 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 12 matches, an away win in 6.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedBrighton & Hove Albion — FK Kauno ŽalgirisBrighton & Hove Albion 86% to win; most likely score 1:0; 3.8 goals on average; over 2.5: 72%
- Closest matchUniversitatea Craiova — Getafe34% v 40%, draw 27%
- Possible upsetHajduk Split — AjaxHajduk Split 25% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
The matches
Thursday, 15 October
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 861041The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.8
- 7217101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
- 7018111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.