Paraguayan Primera Division · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
2 de Mayo — Sportivo San Lorenzo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
2 de Mayo are clear favourites: 53% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings 2 de Mayo are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- 2 de Mayo are 236 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- 2 de Mayo: winless in 4.
- Last 3 meetings: 2 de Mayo 1 win, Sportivo San Lorenzo 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: 2 de Mayo — Sportivo San Lorenzo What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| 2 de Mayo not to lose | 81% | |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap 2 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo goals
- Sportivo San Lorenzo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 12.0 | 12.7 |
| On target | 3.0 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Cards | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 37 |
Form
- 03.11Sportivo Trinidense0:0
- 31.10away · Guaraní0:1
- 25.10Recoleta1:1
- 18.10away · Olimpia0:3
- 12.10Sportivo Ameliano1:0
- 04.11away · Nacional (PAR)2:0
- 01.11Libertad2:1
- 26.10Cerro Porteño1:3
- 19.10away · Luqueño2:3
- 10.10Sportivo Trinidense1:1
Head to head
- 06.09.2026Sportivo San Lorenzo — 2 de Mayo1:2
- 23.05.20262 de Mayo — Sportivo San Lorenzo0:1
- 18.03.2026Sportivo San Lorenzo — 2 de Mayo1:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Nacional (PAR)Cerro Porteñopreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Rubio ÑúLibertadpreliminary2829422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Sportivo AmelianoLuqueñopreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- OlimpiaSportivo Trinidensepreliminary5925151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- RecoletaGuaranípreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →