Paraguayan Primera Division · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Olimpia — Sportivo Trinidense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Olimpia are clear favourites: 59% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olimpia are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Olimpia are 196 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Olimpia: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Olimpia 3 wins, Sportivo Trinidense 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olimpia — Sportivo Trinidense What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Olimpia not to lose | 85% | |
| Sportivo Trinidense not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Olimpia
- Olimpia goals
- Sportivo Trinidense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Olimpia | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 19.0 | 14.4 |
| On target | 6.5 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.5 |
| Cards | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 42 |
Form
- 01.11away · Cerro Porteño2:0
- 25.10away · Sportivo Ameliano3:2
- 18.102 de Mayo3:0
- 11.10away · Rubio Ñú0:0
- 07.10Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 03.11away · 2 de Mayo0:0
- 31.10Rubio Ñú2:4
- 24.10away · Nacional (PAR)1:0
- 19.10Libertad1:0
- 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
Head to head
- 06.09.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Olimpia1:2
- 02.04.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Olimpia2:1
- 05.03.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Olimpia0:1
- 02.02.2026Olimpia — Sportivo Trinidense3:2
- 20.09.2025Olimpia — Sportivo Trinidense1:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Nacional (PAR)Cerro Porteñopreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Rubio ÑúLibertadpreliminary2829422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 2 de MayoSportivo San Lorenzopreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Sportivo AmelianoLuqueñopreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- RecoletaGuaranípreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →