Paraguayan Primera Division · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Sportivo Ameliano — Luqueño
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sportivo Ameliano are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sportivo Ameliano are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Sportivo Ameliano are 192 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Sportivo Ameliano: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Sportivo Ameliano 3 wins, Luqueño 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo Ameliano — Luqueño What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 76% | |
| Luqueño not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Luqueño goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sportivo Ameliano | Luqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 13.8 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 6.1 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 48 |
Form
- 31.10away · Recoleta0:3
- 25.10Olimpia2:3
- 18.10away · Cerro Porteño2:2
- 12.10away · 2 de Mayo0:1
- 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2
- 01.11Nacional (PAR)0:3
- 24.10away · Libertad0:1
- 19.10Sportivo San Lorenzo3:2
- 11.10Cerro Porteño0:3
- 05.10away · Sportivo Trinidense2:3
Head to head
- 07.09.2026Luqueño — Sportivo Ameliano1:2
- 06.04.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Luqueño2:2
- 07.02.2026Luqueño — Sportivo Ameliano0:1
- 02.11.2025Luqueño — Sportivo Ameliano0:1
- 16.08.2025Sportivo Ameliano — Luqueño0:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Nacional (PAR)Cerro Porteñopreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Rubio ÑúLibertadpreliminary2829422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- 2 de MayoSportivo San Lorenzopreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- OlimpiaSportivo Trinidensepreliminary5925151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- RecoletaGuaranípreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →