Paraguayan Primera Division · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Rubio Ñú — Libertad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Libertad are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Libertad are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Rubio Ñú 2 wins, Libertad 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubio Ñú — Libertad What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Rubio Ñú not to lose | 58% | |
| Libertad not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rubio Ñú
- Rubio Ñú goals
- Libertad goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Rubio Ñú | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 14.9 | 14.9 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 58 |
Form
- 31.10away · Sportivo Trinidense4:2
- 23.10Guaraní0:2
- 17.10away · Recoleta0:1
- 11.10Olimpia0:0
- 06.10away · Sportivo Ameliano2:1
- 01.11away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:2
- 24.10Luqueño1:0
- 19.10away · Sportivo Trinidense0:1
- 12.10Guaraní2:2
- 05.10away · Recoleta2:1
Head to head
- 06.09.2026Libertad — Rubio Ñú4:2
- 21.04.2026Rubio Ñú — Libertad3:0
- 21.02.2026Libertad — Rubio Ñú0:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Nacional (PAR)Cerro Porteñopreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- 2 de MayoSportivo San Lorenzopreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Sportivo AmelianoLuqueñopreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- OlimpiaSportivo Trinidensepreliminary5925151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- RecoletaGuaranípreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →