Segunda Division, round 14 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Almería — FC Andorra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Almería are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Almería are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Almería are 262 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Almería — No. 2, 26 pts; FC Andorra — No. 20, 10 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Almería: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Almería 2 wins, FC Andorra 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almería — FC Andorra What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Almería not to lose | 82% | |
| FC Andorra not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Almería
- Almería goals
- FC Andorra goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Almería | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 14.7 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 62 |
Form
- 31.10away · Eibar1:1
- 27.10away · Castellonense2:1
- 24.10Real Oviedo2:2
- 17.10away · Real Sociedad B4:2
- 11.10Leganés3:0
- 29.10away · CD Varea3:0
- 26.10Burgos CF2:3
- 18.10away · Girona0:2
- 11.10Castellón1:0
- 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Almería — FC Andorra3:2
- 06.12.2025FC Andorra — Almería1:2
Table
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real ValladolidCastellónpreliminary3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Real Sociedad BSporting Gijónpreliminary4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- MallorcaCórdobapreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Real OviedoGironapreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →