Segunda Division, round 14 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Mallorca — Córdoba
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mallorca are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Mallorca are 149 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Mallorca — No. 5, 22 pts; Córdoba — No. 12, 16 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Mallorca: unbeaten in 5.
- Days of rest before the match: Mallorca 12, Córdoba 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mallorca — Córdoba What is xG? | 1.8–1.2 | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 78% | |
| Córdoba not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mallorca
- Mallorca goals
- Córdoba goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Mallorca | Córdoba |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.55 | 1.60 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.22 | 1.89 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 16.1 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Cards | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 57 |
Form
- 02.11Cádiz2:1
- 24.10away · Leganés1:1
- 17.10away · Eibar1:1
- 11.10Las Palmas3:1
- 04.10away · Girona0:0
- 31.10away · Celta Fortuna2:2
- 27.10away · CD Atlético Paso1:3
- 24.10Eibar2:0
- 16.10away · Leganés1:0
- 10.10away · Eldense1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Granada | 12 | 7 | +6 | 23 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | +8 | 22 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Córdoba | 12 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Real Valladolid | 12 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real ValladolidCastellónpreliminary3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Real Sociedad BSporting Gijónpreliminary4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- AlmeríaFC Andorrapreliminary5924181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Real OviedoGironapreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →