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Segunda Division, round 14 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Real Sociedad B — Sporting Gijón

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Model prediction for 14 November

Real Sociedad B40%
Draw29%
Sporting Gijón31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Sociedad B are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • In recent matches the betting market rated Real Sociedad B higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

  • League table: Real Sociedad B — No. 18, 11 pts; Sporting Gijón — No. 6, 22 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: Real Sociedad B 2 wins, Sporting Gijón 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Real Sociedad B — Sporting Gijón What is xG?1.4–1.2
Real Sociedad B not to lose69%
Sporting Gijón not to lose60%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Real Sociedad B
  • Real Sociedad B goals
  • Sporting Gijón goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatReal Sociedad BSporting Gijón
Goals scored per match1.31.2
Goals conceded per match2.01.3
xG per match1.401.17
Opponents’ xG1.551.13
Shots14.012.2
On target4.34.1
Corners4.53.8
Cards3.33.2
Possession, %4551

Averages per match: Real Sociedad B — the last 10, Sporting Gijón — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Real Sociedad B

  • 31.10Girona1:0
  • 24.10away · Las Palmas0:1
  • 17.10Almería2:4
  • 10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
  • 04.10Granada2:3

Sporting Gijón

  • 01.11away · AD Ceuta FC2:0
  • 29.10away · Guijuelo3:1
  • 25.10away · Castellón0:4
  • 17.10Albacete2:1
  • 11.10away · Cádiz1:0

Head to head

  • 06.04.2026Sporting Gijón — Real Sociedad B1:0
  • 06.12.2025Real Sociedad B — Sporting Gijón0:1
  • 07.03.2022Real Sociedad B — Sporting Gijón2:1
  • 12.11.2021Sporting Gijón — Real Sociedad B0:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Promotion play-offsMallorca1264215–7+822
6, Promotion play-offsSporting Gijón1271413–13022
7Girona1263322–11+1121
17Leganés1233610–20-1012
18Real Sociedad B1232715–22-711
19, RelegationCádiz1224615–16-110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • Real ValladolidCastellónpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
  • AlmeríaFC Andorrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • MallorcaCórdobapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • Real OviedoGironapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →