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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Atlas Paillade — Cannes

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Model prediction for 14 November

Atlas Paillade19%
Draw23%
Cannes58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cannes are clear favourites: 58% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Cannes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Cannes are 153 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Atlas Paillade — Cannes What is xG?1.0–1.9
Atlas Paillade not to lose42%
Cannes not to lose81%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Atlas Paillade
  • Atlas Paillade goals
  • Cannes goals
  • Corners and cards
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Atlas Paillade

  • 25.10US Salinieres Aigues Mortes1:1
  • 15.11Bourg en Bresse Péronnas0:2
  • 26.10ES Paulhan Pezenas8:0
  • 28.10away · Revel0:1

Cannes

  • 14.11Annecy FC1:2
  • 26.10away · USR Pertuis3:0
  • 02.04Reims1:2
  • 25.02Guingamp3:1
  • 05.02Dives-Cabourg5:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →