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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

St Pontivyen — Plabennec

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Model prediction for 14 November

St Pontivyen29%
Draw26%
Plabennec44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Plabennec are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Plabennec are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St Pontivyen — Plabennec What is xG?1.2–1.5
St Pontivyen not to lose56%
Plabennec not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap St Pontivyen
  • St Pontivyen goals
  • Plabennec goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

St Pontivyen

  • 25.10away · US Janze1:1
  • 19.11Rouen1:2
  • 29.10away · RC Ploumagoar2:1
  • 08.01Les Herbiers1:4
  • 19.11away · Alençon0:0

Plabennec

  • 25.10Stade Briochin1:1
  • 29.11Les Herbiers1:2
  • 16.11away · Plédran2:0
  • 26.10away · CEP Lorient1:0
  • 18.11Challans1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →