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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Lannion — Guingamp

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Model prediction for 14 November

Lannion19%
Draw23%
Guingamp58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Guingamp are clear favourites: 58% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Guingamp are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
  • Guingamp are 120 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lannion — Guingamp What is xG?1.0–1.9
Lannion not to lose42%
Guingamp not to lose81%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Lannion

  • 25.10away · Landerneau4:1
  • 08.01Toulouse1:7
  • 20.11away · JSC Bellevue Nantes0:0
  • 29.10away · Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant1:1
  • 16.10away · J. Unie Plougonven6:0

Guingamp

  • 31.10Saint-Étienne3:0
  • 23.10away · Clermont Foot2:0
  • 16.10Pau1:2
  • 09.10away · Nancy0:1
  • 19.09Red Star1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →