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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy — Rennes TA

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Model prediction for 14 November

Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy43%
Draw26%
Rennes TA30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy are 123 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy — Rennes TA What is xG?1.5–1.2
Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy not to lose70%
Rennes TA not to lose57%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy
  • Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy goals
  • Rennes TA goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy

  • 25.10away · US Gregorienne 351:1
  • 20.12SC Bastia0:1
  • 30.11away · Espoir Ste Luce4:0
  • 15.11away · Challans2:0
  • 26.10away · Saint Pierre Milizac2:2

Rennes TA

  • 24.10away · Ginglin Cesson Saint Brieuc2:1
  • 16.11away · OC Cesson2:2
  • 26.10away · Dinard FC2:1
  • 18.11away · Dinan-Léhon1:3
  • 29.10away · Plobannalec AS3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →