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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Tinteniac FC — Concarneau

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Model prediction for 14 November

Tinteniac FC19%
Draw23%
Concarneau57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Concarneau are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Concarneau are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Concarneau are 139 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tinteniac FC — Concarneau What is xG?1.0–1.9
Tinteniac FC not to lose43%
Concarneau not to lose81%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Tinteniac FC
  • Tinteniac FC goals
  • Concarneau goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Tinteniac FC

  • 24.10away · Concarneau Hermine2:0

Concarneau

  • 24.10away · OC Cesson4:2
  • 21.12Nantes3:5
  • 28.11Stade Briochin1:0
  • 15.11away · Les Bleuets Le Pertre Brielles3:0
  • 26.10away · Ginglin Cesson Saint Brieuc2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →