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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

COBSP St Brieuc — Rouen

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Model prediction for 14 November

COBSP St Brieuc17%
Draw22%
Rouen61%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rouen are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Rouen are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Rouen are 169 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: COBSP St Brieuc — Rouen What is xG?0.9–2.0
COBSP St Brieuc not to lose39%
Rouen not to lose83%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap COBSP St Brieuc
  • COBSP St Brieuc goals
  • Rouen goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

COBSP St Brieuc

  • 25.10Plaintel3:1
  • 17.11St Malo1:2

Rouen

  • 24.10away · USC Mezidon7:0
  • 20.12Lille0:1
  • 30.11away · Ginglin Cesson Saint Brieuc3:0
  • 26.10Stade de Grand Quevilly11:1
  • 28.02Valenciennes1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →