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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Avenir Foot Lozère — Crest Aouste

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Model prediction for 14 November

Avenir Foot Lozère36%
Draw27%
Crest Aouste38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Avenir Foot Lozère 36%, Crest Aouste 38%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Avenir Foot Lozère — Crest Aouste What is xG?1.4–1.4
Avenir Foot Lozère not to lose62%
Crest Aouste not to lose64%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Avenir Foot Lozère
  • Avenir Foot Lozère goals
  • Crest Aouste goals
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  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Avenir Foot Lozère

  • 25.10away · RC Ganges3:1
  • 15.10Olympique Alès2:2
  • 26.10Fabregues2:3

Crest Aouste

  • 24.10Olympique de Valence2:0
  • 31.10away · St Cyr Collonges au Mont d'Or2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →