Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Balagne FC — Montpellier
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montpellier are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Montpellier are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Montpellier are 456 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Balagne FC: winless in 5; Montpellier: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Balagne FC — Montpellier What is xG? | 0.6–3.0 | |
| Balagne FC not to lose | 16% | |
| Montpellier not to lose | 95% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Balagne FC
- Balagne FC goals
- Montpellier goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 25.10away · FC Bastia-Borgo1:1
- 25.10away · Furiani Agliani1:2
- 29.10away · Squadra Valincu Alta Rocca Rizzanese1:2
- 31.10FC Bastia-Borgo0:0
- 31.01Furiani Agliani0:3
- 31.10away · Annecy FC3:0
- 26.10Red Star2:1
- 19.10away · Rodez3:0
- 09.10Grenoble2:0
- 18.09away · Reims1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →