Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Bethune — Nancy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nancy are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nancy are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Nancy are 188 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Nancy: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bethune — Nancy What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| Bethune not to lose | 38% | |
| Nancy not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bethune
- Bethune goals
- Nancy goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 25.10away · Amiens Portugais3:1
- 20.12Sochaux2:4
- 29.11away · AS Steenvoorde0:0
- 15.11away · Loon Plage1:1
- 26.10away · Henin Olympique3:0
- 02.11away · Red Star4:1
- 23.10Laval1:0
- 16.10away · Annecy FC2:1
- 09.10Guingamp1:0
- 18.09away · Rodez4:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →