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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Bressuire — Challans

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Model prediction for 14 November

Bressuire29%
Draw26%
Challans44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Challans are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Challans are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bressuire — Challans What is xG?1.2–1.6
Bressuire not to lose56%
Challans not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Bressuire
  • Bressuire goals
  • Challans goals
  • Corners and cards
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Bressuire

  • 24.10AS Panazol1:1
  • 17.11Bordeaux0:2
  • 27.10away · Linars3:1
  • 31.10away · Cestas1:2
  • 31.01away · Lege Cap Ferret1:3

Challans

  • 25.10Montilliers3:1
  • 15.11Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy0:2
  • 26.10away · ES Blain8:0
  • 05.01Rodez0:4
  • 10.12away · Paimpol FC1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →