Segunda Division, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Cádiz — Real Oviedo
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In short
Evenly matched: Cádiz 35%, Real Oviedo 36%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Oviedo are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Real Oviedo are 104 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Cádiz — No. 19, 10 pts; Real Oviedo — No. 9, 18 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Cádiz 1 win, Real Oviedo 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cádiz — Real Oviedo What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Cádiz not to lose | 64% | |
| Real Oviedo not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cádiz
- Cádiz goals
- Real Oviedo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Cádiz | Real Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 1.35 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.47 | 1.66 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 15.7 |
| On target | 3.2 | 5.6 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| Cards | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 48 |
Form
- 02.11away · Mallorca1:2
- 29.10away · Xerez3:1
- 25.10AD Ceuta FC3:1
- 18.10away · Granada0:2
- 11.10Sporting Gijón0:1
- 02.11Las Palmas2:3
- 29.10away · Numancia3:3
- 24.10away · Almería2:2
- 18.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
- 12.10Eibar3:1
Head to head
- 01.06.2025Real Oviedo — Cádiz2:1
- 26.10.2024Cádiz — Real Oviedo2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos CF | 12 | 6 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 12 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | -7 | 11 |
| 19, Relegation | Cádiz | 12 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 20, Relegation | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- 4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →