Leganés — Albacete
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Leganés are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Leganés are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Leganés — No. 17, 12 pts; Albacete — No. 21, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Leganés: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Leganés 3 wins, Albacete 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Leganés 5, Albacete 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Leganés — Albacete What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Leganés not to lose | 71% | |
| Albacete not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Leganés
- Leganés goals
- Albacete goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Leganés | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.50 | 1.01 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.56 | 1.64 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 5.8 |
| Cards | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 45 |
Form
- 02.11away · Real Valladolid3:4
- 24.10Mallorca1:1
- 16.10Córdoba0:1
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
- 31.10Sabadell2:1
- 25.10Eldense2:0
- 17.10away · Sporting Gijón1:2
- 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
- 03.10Eibar1:3
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Leganés — Albacete2:1
- 04.01.2026Albacete — Leganés1:3
- 04.12.2025Leganés — Albacete1:2
- 12.05.2024Albacete — Leganés1:0
- 27.08.2023Leganés — Albacete2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 12 | 3 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganés | 12 | 3 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | -7 | 11 |
| 20, Relegation | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 21, Relegation | Albacete | 12 | 2 | -13 | 7 |
| 22, Relegation | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | -17 | 5 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 3529362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- 6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →