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Segunda Division, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Leganés — Albacete

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Model prediction for 7 November

Leganés43%
Draw28%
Albacete29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Leganés are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Leganés are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Leganés — No. 17, 12 pts; Albacete — No. 21, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Leganés: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Leganés 3 wins, Albacete 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Leganés 5, Albacete 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Leganés — Albacete What is xG?1.5–1.2
Leganés not to lose71%
Albacete not to lose57%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Leganés
  • Leganés goals
  • Albacete goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatLeganésAlbacete
Goals scored per match0.80.8
Goals conceded per match1.91.9
xG per match1.501.01
Opponents’ xG1.561.64
Shots12.911.8
On target4.23.3
Corners3.95.8
Cards3.42.4
Possession, %4945

Averages per match: Leganés — the last 10, Albacete — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Leganés

  • 02.11away · Real Valladolid3:4
  • 24.10Mallorca1:1
  • 16.10Córdoba0:1
  • 11.10away · Almería0:3
  • 03.10away · Cádiz0:4

Albacete

  • 31.10Sabadell2:1
  • 25.10Eldense2:0
  • 17.10away · Sporting Gijón1:2
  • 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
  • 03.10Eibar1:3

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Leganés — Albacete2:1
  • 04.01.2026Albacete — Leganés1:3
  • 04.12.2025Leganés — Albacete1:2
  • 12.05.2024Albacete — Leganés1:0
  • 27.08.2023Leganés — Albacete2:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
16Celta Fortuna1234518–23-513
17Leganés1233610–20-1012
18Real Sociedad B1232715–22-711
20, RelegationFC Andorra1131715–20-510
21, RelegationAlbacete1221910–23-137
22, RelegationAD Ceuta FC1212910–27-175

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →