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Segunda Division, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Córdoba — AD Ceuta FC

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Model prediction for 7 November

Córdoba63%
Draw21%
AD Ceuta FC16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Córdoba are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Córdoba are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
  • Córdoba are 190 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Córdoba — No. 12, 16 pts; AD Ceuta FC — No. 22, 5 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 2 meetings: Córdoba 1 win, AD Ceuta FC 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Córdoba — AD Ceuta FC What is xG?2.3–1.1
Córdoba not to lose84%
AD Ceuta FC not to lose37%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.565%
Total under 2.535%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Córdoba
  • Córdoba goals
  • AD Ceuta FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatCórdobaAD Ceuta FC
Goals scored per match1.50.9
Goals conceded per match1.82.0
xG per match1.601.46
Opponents’ xG1.891.68
Shots16.116.8
On target5.14.5
Corners6.56.9
Cards3.53.0
Possession, %5753

Averages per match: Córdoba — the last 10, AD Ceuta FC — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Córdoba

  • 31.10away · Celta Fortuna2:2
  • 27.10away · CD Atlético Paso1:3
  • 24.10Eibar2:0
  • 16.10away · Leganés1:0
  • 10.10away · Eldense1:2

AD Ceuta FC

  • 01.11Sporting Gijón0:2
  • 29.10away · Poblense2:1
  • 25.10away · Cádiz1:3
  • 18.10Real Oviedo1:2
  • 10.10Sabadell1:2

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026AD Ceuta FC — Córdoba3:2
  • 02.11.2025Córdoba — AD Ceuta FC2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Las Palmas1252517–21-417
12Córdoba1251619–22-316
13Real Valladolid1243520–19+115
21, RelegationAlbacete1221910–23-137
22, RelegationAD Ceuta FC1212910–27-175

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • Burgos CFCelta Fortuna
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
  • CádizReal Oviedo
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
  • LeganésAlbacete
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • GranadaTenerife
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →