Segunda Division, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, 23:00 (UTC+3)

Granada — Tenerife

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Model prediction for 7 November

Granada55%

Draw26%

Tenerife19%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Granada are clear favourites: 55% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

By the strength ratings Granada are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Granada are 153 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Granada — No. 4, 23 pts; Tenerife — No. 14, 14 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
Granada: 5 wins in a row; Tenerife: winless in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Granada 3 wins, Tenerife 2.
Days of rest before the match: Granada 6, Tenerife 13.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Granada — Tenerife What is xG?		1.6–0.8
Granada not to lose		81%
Tenerife not to lose		45%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		48%
Both teams to score: no		52%
Total over 2.5		48%
Total under 2.5		52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Granada
Granada goals
Tenerife goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Granada	Tenerife
Goals scored per match	1.8	1.0
Goals conceded per match	1.4	1.4
xG per match	1.73	0.79
Opponents’ xG	1.29	1.21
Shots	14.9	10.5
On target	4.3	2.9
Corners	4.6	4.4
Cards	1.8	2.6
Possession, %	50	42

Averages per match: Granada — the last 10, Tenerife — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Granada

01.11away · Eldense2:0
29.10away · Cieza3:0
23.10Real Valladolid2:1
18.10Cádiz2:0
12.10away · Burgos CF1:0

Tenerife

25.10away · Sabadell1:1
19.10away · Celta Fortuna1:1
12.10Girona1:1
05.10away · Córdoba2:3
26.09Cádiz1:1

Head to head

05.12.2025Tenerife — Granada0:1
28.03.2025Tenerife — Granada2:1
19.10.2024Granada — Tenerife4:0
10.02.2023Granada — Tenerife2:0
16.10.2022Tenerife — Granada2:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Promotion play-offs	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21–14	+7	23
4, Promotion play-offs	Granada	12	7	2	3	20–14	+6	23
5, Promotion play-offs	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15–7	+8	22
13	Real Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20–19	+1	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13–15	-2	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13–17	-4	14

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

16:00
Burgos CFCelta Fortuna
542719
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
18:15
CádizReal Oviedo
352936
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
20:30
CórdobaAD Ceuta FC
632116
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
20:30
LeganésAlbacete
432829
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →