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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Chambéry — Grenoble

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Model prediction for 14 November

Chambéry25%
Draw25%
Grenoble50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Grenoble are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Grenoble are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Grenoble are 77 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Grenoble: 4 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chambéry — Grenoble What is xG?1.1–1.7
Chambéry not to lose50%
Grenoble not to lose75%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Chambéry
  • Chambéry goals
  • Grenoble goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Chambéry

  • 24.10Manival3:0
  • 29.11Dijon0:2
  • 17.11St Cyr Collonges au Mont d'Or2:1
  • 27.10away · Annecy le Vieux1:1
  • 07.01Toulouse0:3

Grenoble

  • 30.10Dijon1:3
  • 23.10away · Pau1:2
  • 16.10Boulogne0:2
  • 09.10away · Montpellier0:2
  • 18.09Clermont Foot1:1

Head to head

  • 09.12.2023Chambéry — Grenoble1:1

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →