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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Charleville — Marcquois

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Model prediction for 14 November

Charleville30%
Draw26%
Marcquois44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Marcquois are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Marcquois are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Charleville — Marcquois What is xG?1.2–1.5
Charleville not to lose56%
Marcquois not to lose70%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Charleville
  • Charleville goals
  • Marcquois goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Charleville

  • 25.10away · Val de l'Orne3:0
  • 15.11Reims0:1
  • 26.10away · Bar Le Duc1:1
  • 16.11away · Gallia CL1:2
  • 26.10FC Hagondange4:0

Marcquois

  • 25.10away · US Hordain2:1
  • 20.12Troyes1:3
  • 29.11Bondues FC2:0
  • 16.11OM Aire sur La Lys5:0
  • 26.10away · Mouvaux3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →