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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Chauny — US Le Pays du Valois

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Model prediction for 14 November

Chauny32%
Draw27%
US Le Pays du Valois42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

US Le Pays du Valois are slightly stronger: 42% against 32%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings US Le Pays du Valois are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chauny — US Le Pays du Valois What is xG?1.3–1.5
Chauny not to lose58%
US Le Pays du Valois not to lose68%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Chauny
  • Chauny goals
  • US Le Pays du Valois goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Chauny

  • 25.10Stade Orchies1:1

US Le Pays du Valois

  • 25.10away · Marquette5:1
  • 26.10St Amand FC1:2
  • 27.10away · Raismes FC0:0
  • 18.11Auxerre0:0
  • 29.10away · Lomme Delivrance5:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →