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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

ESAP Metz — US Reipertswiller

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Model prediction for 14 November

ESAP Metz35%
Draw27%
US Reipertswiller38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: ESAP Metz 35%, US Reipertswiller 38%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: ESAP Metz — US Reipertswiller What is xG?1.3–1.4
ESAP Metz not to lose62%
US Reipertswiller not to lose65%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap ESAP Metz
  • ESAP Metz goals
  • US Reipertswiller goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

ESAP Metz

  • 25.10Marnaval1:0
  • 27.10Association Still Mutzig0:4

US Reipertswiller

  • 25.10Hoerdt2:0
  • 28.10away · Sarreguemines FC0:4
  • 20.11away · ES Villerupt1:1
  • 29.10Nancy3:2
  • 16.10US Oberschaeffolheim5:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →