Copa del Rey, round 1 · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3) · Campo do Vao
Coruxo FC — Zamora
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Zamora to win (44%), came true.
Zamora are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zamora are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coruxo FC — Zamora What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| Coruxo FC not to lose | 56% | |
| Zamora not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coruxo FC
- Coruxo FC goals
- Zamora goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Match events
- 8′Pau Mascaro · Zamora0:1
- 90′Alexander Hidalgo · Zamora0:2
Form
- 04.12Tenerife0:0
- 30.10away · Juventud Torremolinos CF2:1
- 22.11Villarreal1:2
- 01.11Racing Santander2:2
- 15.12Real Sociedad0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 1219682The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 0:1.3.1
- 2024562The most likely outcome came true: 21:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 0:2.2.9
- 714802The most likely outcome came true: 20:6Final score 0:6. Model's score: 0:4.3.4
- 2525502The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 815782The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.3
- 1923582The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriafinal 1:2 (90 min 1:1)4326311The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 1421652The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:3.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →