Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Croix — Thaon
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Thaon are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Thaon are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Thaon are 94 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Thaon: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Croix — Thaon What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Croix not to lose | 46% | |
| Thaon not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Croix
- Croix goals
- Thaon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 24.10away · Feignies Aulnoye2:2
- 19.12Reims0:4
- 29.11ASC Le Geldar2:1
- 15.11Racing Club de France2:2
- 26.10away · St Omer2:0
- 24.10away · Reims Murigny FP9:1
- 15.01Strasbourg2:2
- 21.12Amiens2:1
- 01.12away · Lunéville4:0
- 16.11away · Sarre-Union2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →