Copa del Rey, round 1 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano
CS Puertollano — Albacete
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
In short
Albacete are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Albacete are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Albacete are 190 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CS Puertollano — Albacete What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| CS Puertollano not to lose | 37% | |
| Albacete not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CS Puertollano
- CS Puertollano goals
- Albacete goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Sabadell2:1
- 25.10Eldense2:0
- 17.10away · Sporting Gijón1:2
- 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
- 03.10Eibar1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3527392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 1017722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 2023572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →