Copa del Rey, round 1 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio La Florida
Portugalete — Real Unión
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In short
Portugalete are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Portugalete are 104 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Portugalete — Real Unión What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Portugalete not to lose | 69% | |
| Real Unión not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Portugalete
- Portugalete goals
- Real Unión goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.12Deportivo Alavés0:3
- 29.10Real Valladolid1:0
- 06.01Levante1:2
- 15.12Ponferradina1:0
- 11.01Real Betis0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3527392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 1017722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 2023572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →