Copa del Rey, round 1 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Santa Ana
Utebo — Sabadell
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
In short
Sabadell are clear favourites: 72% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sabadell are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- Sabadell are 280 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utebo — Sabadell What is xG? | 0.8–2.4 | |
| Utebo not to lose | 28% | |
| Sabadell not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Utebo
- Utebo goals
- Sabadell goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Albacete1:2
- 25.10Tenerife1:1
- 18.10away · Burgos CF0:1
- 10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
- 04.10FC Andorra0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3527392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 2023572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →