Copa del Rey, round 1 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Camp Nou Municipal
Reus — Barakaldo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
In short
Evenly matched: Reus 38%, Barakaldo 35%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Reus are 73 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Reus — Barakaldo What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Reus not to lose | 65% | |
| Barakaldo not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Reus
- Reus goals
- Barakaldo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 05.12Racing de Ferrol1:2
- 30.10away · Lleida Esportiu3:1
- 01.11Málaga0:0
- 12.01Rayo Vallecano0:2
- 18.12Villarrubia CF0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3527392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 1017722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 2023572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →