Copa del Rey, round 1 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Campo Municipal de Urritxe
SD Amorebieta — Logroñés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
In short
SD Amorebieta are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings SD Amorebieta are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- SD Amorebieta are 221 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SD Amorebieta — Logroñés What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| SD Amorebieta not to lose | 78% | |
| Logroñés not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap SD Amorebieta
- SD Amorebieta goals
- Logroñés goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Barbastro0:4
- 02.06away · CD Mirandés0:1
- 26.05Espanyol0:0
- 18.05away · Tenerife1:0
- 12.05Villarreal B2:0
Head to head
- 16.12.2020SD Amorebieta — Logroñés1:0
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3527392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 1017722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 2023572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →