Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Dunkerque — Quevilly
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Dunkerque 37%, Quevilly 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Dunkerque are 52 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Dunkerque 1 win, Quevilly 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dunkerque — Quevilly What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Dunkerque not to lose | 64% | |
| Quevilly not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap Dunkerque
- Dunkerque goals
- Quevilly goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 24.10away · Coutancaise1:1
- 15.11away · CMS Oissel2:2
- 25.10away · La Maladrerie1:0
- 15.01Angers2:3
- 22.12away · US Saint Philbert2:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2024Quevilly — Dunkerque1:2
- 30.09.2023Dunkerque — Quevilly0:1
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →