Bundesliga, round 10 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Eintracht Frankfurt — Hoffenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Eintracht Frankfurt are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eintracht Frankfurt are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Eintracht Frankfurt are 67 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Eintracht Frankfurt — No. 8, 11 pts; Hoffenheim — No. 12, 9 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 3 wins, Hoffenheim 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt — Hoffenheim What is xG? | 1.9–1.6 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 69% | |
| Hoffenheim not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt goals
- Hoffenheim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Eintracht Frankfurt | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 2.07 | 1.73 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.79 | 1.26 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 17.8 |
| On target | 7.2 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.8 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 55 |
Form
- 01.11Hamburger SV3:1
- 27.10away · Hamburger SV3:1
- 24.10away · Borussia Dortmund0:1
- 16.101. FC Köln1:0
- 10.10away · RB Leipzig0:6
- 31.10away · Werder Bremen0:2
- 28.10away · Holstein Kiel1:1
- 25.10Bayer Leverkusen3:0
- 22.10Lyon3:0
- 18.10away · Borussia Mönchengladbach2:1
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Eintracht Frankfurt — Hoffenheim1:3
- 30.08.2025Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt1:3
- 26.01.2025Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt2:2
- 31.08.2024Eintracht Frankfurt — Hoffenheim3:1
- 10.03.2024Eintracht Frankfurt — Hoffenheim3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- Bayer LeverkusenPaderbornpreliminary6820111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Dortmundpreliminary1622612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- ElversbergFreiburgpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- Union BerlinRB Leipzigpreliminary1624602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- Schalke 04VfB Stuttgartpreliminary2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →