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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

FCO Firminy — Annecy FC

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Model prediction for 14 November

FCO Firminy11%
Draw18%
Annecy FC70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Annecy FC are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Annecy FC are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
  • Annecy FC are 263 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FCO Firminy — Annecy FC What is xG?0.8–2.3
FCO Firminy not to lose30%
Annecy FC not to lose89%
No draw82%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FCO Firminy
  • FCO Firminy goals
  • Annecy FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

FCO Firminy

  • 24.10away · US Briode4:0
  • 26.10away · Brives Sauveteurs1:1

Annecy FC

  • 31.10Montpellier0:3
  • 23.10away · Sochaux3:1
  • 16.10Nancy1:2
  • 09.10away · Dunkerque1:0
  • 18.09Dijon1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →